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research article

Stochastic modelling of prey depletion processes

Clerc, T.
•
Davison, A. C.  
•
Bersier, L.-F.
2009
Journal of Theoretical Biology

The modelling of prey-predator interactions is of major importance for the understanding of population dynamics. Classically, these interactions are modelled using ordinary differential equations, but this has the drawbacks of assuming continuous population variables and of being deterministic. We propose a general approach to stochastic modelling based on the concept of functional response for a prey depletion process with a constant number of predators. Our model could involve any kind of functional response, and permits a likelihood-based approach to statistical modelling and stable numerical analysis based on matrix exponentials. To illustrate the method we use the Holling-Juliano functional response and compare the outcomes of our model with a deterministic counterpart considered by Schenk and Bacher (2002), who observed the depletion of Cassida rubiginosa due to its exclusive predator, Polistes dominulus. The predation was found to be Holling type III, reflecting the ability of the predator to regulate its prey. Our approach corroborates this result, but suggests that the prey depletion census should have been performed more often, and that predation features were significantly different between the two years for which data are available.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.04.017
Web of Science ID

WOS:000274798000012

Author(s)
Clerc, T.
Davison, A. C.  
Bersier, L.-F.
Date Issued

2009

Published in
Journal of Theoretical Biology
Volume

259

Start page

523

End page

532

Subjects

Functional response

•

Holling models

•

Likelihood inference

•

Matrix exponential

•

Prey-predator interaction

•

Pure death process

•

Stochastic model

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
STAT  
Available on Infoscience
May 21, 2009
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/40195
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