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research article

From Prediction to Prevention: Leveraging Deep Learning in Traffic Accident Prediction Systems

Jin, Zhixiong  
•
Noh, Byeongjoon
October 1, 2023
Electronics

We propose a novel system leveraging deep learning-based methods to predict urban traffic accidents and estimate their severity. The major challenge is the data imbalance problem in traffic accident prediction. The problem is caused by numerous zero values in the dataset due to the rarity of traffic accidents. To address the issue, we propose a grid-clustered feature map with the ideas of grids and cells. To predict the occurrence of accidents in the grid, we introduce an accident detector that combines the power of a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with a Deep Neural Network (DNN). Then, hierarchical DNNs are supposed to be an accident risk classifier to estimate the risk of each cell in the accident-occurrence grid. The proposed system can effectively reduce instances with no traffic accidents. Furthermore, we introduce the concept of the Accident Risk Index (ARI) to better represent the severity of risk at each cell. Also, we consider all the explanatory variables, such as dangerous driving behaviors, traffic mobility, and safety facility information, that can be related to traffic accidents. To improve the prediction accuracy, we further take into consideration all the explanatory variables, such as dangerous driving behaviors, traffic mobility, and safety facility information, that can be related to traffic accidents. In the experiment, we highlight the benefits of our method for urban traffic accident management by significantly improving model performance compared to the baselines. The feasibility and applicability of the proposed system are validated in the data of Daejeon City, Republic of Korea. The proposed prediction system can dynamically advise and recommend commuters, traffic management systems, and city planners on alternatives, optimizations, and interventions.

  • Details
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Type
research article
DOI
10.3390/electronics12204335
Web of Science ID

WOS:001089501400001

Author(s)
Jin, Zhixiong  
Noh, Byeongjoon
Date Issued

2023-10-01

Publisher

MDPI

Published in
Electronics
Volume

12

Issue

20

Article Number

4335

Subjects

Technology

•

Physical Sciences

•

Traffic Safety

•

Traffic Accident Prediction System

•

Accident Severity Estimation

•

Deep Learning

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LUTS  
FunderGrant Number

We thank Transport Safety Authority in South Korea for providing DTG data.

Available on Infoscience
February 16, 2024
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/203943
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