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research article

Inference and Computation for Sparsely Sampled Random Surfaces

Masak, Tomas  
•
Rubin, Tomas  
•
Panaretos, Victor M.  
March 18, 2022
Journal Of Computational And Graphical Statistics

Nonparametric inference for functional data over two-dimensional domains entails additional computational and statistical challenges, compared to the one-dimensional case. Separability of the covariance is commonly assumed to address these issues in the densely observed regime. Instead, we consider the sparse regime, where the latent surfaces are observed only at few irregular locations with additive measurement error, and propose an estimator of covariance based on local linear smoothers. Consequently, the assumption of separability reduces the intrinsically four-dimensional smoothing problem into several two-dimensional smoothers and allows the proposed estimator to retain the classical minimax-optimal convergence rate for two-dimensional smoothers. Even when separability fails to hold, imposing it can be still advantageous as a form of regularization. A simulation study reveals a favorable bias-variance tradeoff and massive speed-ups achieved by our approach. Finally, the proposed methodology is used for qualitative analysis of implied volatility surfaces corresponding to call options, and for prediction of the latent surfaces based on information from the entire dataset, allowing for uncertainty quantification. Our cross-validated out-of-sample quantitative results show that the proposed methodology outperforms the common approach of pre-smoothing every implied volatility surface separately. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1080/10618600.2022.2034640
Web of Science ID

WOS:000771286500001

Author(s)
Masak, Tomas  
Rubin, Tomas  
Panaretos, Victor M.  
Date Issued

2022-03-18

Publisher

TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC

Published in
Journal Of Computational And Graphical Statistics
Subjects

Statistics & Probability

•

Mathematics

•

functional data

•

implied volatility

•

kernel smoothing

•

prediction

•

separability

•

time

•

models

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SMAT  
Available on Infoscience
April 11, 2022
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/186949
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