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research article

Robust optimization for strategic energy planning

Moret, Stefano  
•
Bierlaire, Michel  
•
Maréchal, François
2016
Informatica

Long-term planning for energy systems is often based on deterministic economic optimization and forecasts of fuel prices.When fuel price evolution is underestimated, the consequence is a low penetration of renewables and more efficient technologies in favour of fossil alternatives. This work aims at overcoming this issue by assessing the impact of uncertainty on energy planning decisions. A classification of uncertainty in energy systems decision-making is performed. Robust optimization is then applied to a Mixed-Integer Linear Programming problem, representing the typical trade-offs in energy planning. It is shown that in the uncertain domain investing in more efficient and cleaner technologies can be economically optimal.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.15388/Informatica.2016.103
Web of Science ID

WOS:000385691700008

Author(s)
Moret, Stefano  
Bierlaire, Michel  
Maréchal, François
Date Issued

2016

Published in
Informatica
Volume

27

Issue

3

Start page

625

End page

648

Subjects

energy planning

•

robust optimization

•

uncertainty characterization

•

Mixed-Integer Linear Programming

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
TRANSP-OR  
Available on Infoscience
January 15, 2016
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/122275
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