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  4. Nitrogen and Sulfur Deposition on regional and global scales: A multi-model evaluation
 
research article

Nitrogen and Sulfur Deposition on regional and global scales: A multi-model evaluation

Dentener, F.
•
Drevet, J.  
•
Lamarque, J.F.
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2006
Global Biogeochemical Cycles

We use 23 atmospheric chemistry transport models to calculate current and future (2030) deposition of reactive nitrogen (NOy, NHx) and sulfate (SOx) to land and ocean surfaces. The models are driven by three emission scenarios: (1) current air quality legislation (CLE); (2) an optimistic case of the maximum emissions reductions currently technologically feasible (MFR); and (3) the contrasting pessimistic IPCC SRES A2 scenario. An extensive evaluation of the present-day deposition using nearly all information on wet deposition available worldwide shows a good agreement with observations in Europe and North America, where 60–70% of the model-calculated wet deposition rates agree to within ±50% with quality-controlled measurements. Models systematically overestimate NHx deposition in South Asia, and underestimate NOy deposition in East Asia. We show that there are substantial differences among models for the removal mechanisms of NOy, NHx, and SOx, leading to ±1 σ variance in total deposition fluxes of about 30% in the anthropogenic emissions regions, and up to a factor of 2 outside. In all cases the mean model constructed from the ensemble calculations is among the best when comparing to measurements. Currently, 36–51% of all NOy, NHx, and SOx is deposited over the ocean, and 50–80% of the fraction of deposition on land falls on natural (nonagricultural) vegetation. Currently, 11% of the world's natural vegetation receives nitrogen deposition in excess of the “critical load” threshold of 1000 mg(N) m−2 yr−1. The regions most affected are the United States (20% of vegetation), western Europe (30%), eastern Europe (80%), South Asia (60%), East Asia (40%), southeast Asia (30%), and Japan (50%). Future deposition fluxes are mainly driven by changes in emissions, and less importantly by changes in atmospheric chemistry and climate. The global fraction of vegetation exposed to nitrogen loads in excess of 1000 mg(N) m−2 yr−1 increases globally to 17% for CLE and 25% for A2. In MFR, the reductions in NOy are offset by further increases for NHx deposition. The regions most affected by exceedingly high nitrogen loads for CLE and A2 are Europe and Asia, but also parts of Africa.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1029/2005GB002672
Web of Science ID

WOS:000241700200001

Author(s)
Dentener, F.
Drevet, J.  
Lamarque, J.F.
Bey, I.  
Eickhout, B.
Fiore, A.M.
Hauglustaine, D.
Horowitz, L.W.
Krol, M.
Kulshrestha, U.C.
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Date Issued

2006

Published in
Global Biogeochemical Cycles
Volume

20

Issue

4

Article Number

GB4003

Subjects

Nitrogen

•

Sulphur

•

Multi-model

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LMCA  
Available on Infoscience
September 3, 2008
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/27694
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