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research article

Pattern-oriented memory interpolation of sparse historical rainfall records

Matos, J. P.  
•
Liechti, T. Cohen  
•
Portela, M. M.
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2014
Journal of Hydrology

The pattern-oriented memory (POM) is a novel historical rainfall interpolation method that explicitly takes into account the time dimension in order to interpolate areal rainfall maps. The method is based on the idea that rainfall patterns exist and can be identified over a certain area by means of non-linear regressions. Having been previously benchmarked with a vast array of interpolation methods using proxy satellite data under different time and space availabilities, in the scope of the present contribution POM is applied to rain gauge data in order to produce areal rainfall maps. Tested over the Zambezi River Basin for the period from 1979 to 1997 (accurate satellite rainfall estimates based on spaceborne instruments are not available for dates prior to 1998), the novel pattern-oriented memory historical interpolation method has revealed itself as a better alternative than Kriging or Inverse Distance Weighing in the light of a Monte Carlo cross-validation procedure. Superior in most metrics to the other tested interpolation methods, in terms of the Pearson correlation coefficient and bias the accuracy of POM's historical interpolation results are even comparable with that of recent satellite rainfall products. The new method holds the possibility of calculating detailed and performing daily areal rainfall estimates, even in the case of sparse rain gauging grids. Besides their performance, the similarity to satellite rainfall estimates inherent to POM interpolations can contribute to substantially extend the length of the rainfall series used in hydrological models and water availability studies in remote areas. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

  • Details
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Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.01.003
Web of Science ID

WOS:000333138800041

Author(s)
Matos, J. P.  
Liechti, T. Cohen  
Portela, M. M.
Schleiss, A. J.  
Date Issued

2014

Publisher

Elsevier

Published in
Journal of Hydrology
Volume

510

Start page

493

End page

503

Subjects

Historical rainfall data

•

Kriging

•

Least-Squares Support Vector Regression

•

Pattern-oriented memory

•

Rainfall interpolation

Note

[969]

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
PL-LCH  
Available on Infoscience
May 2, 2014
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/103129
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