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research article

Modelling across extremal dependence classes

Wadsworth, J. L.  
•
Tawn, J. A.
•
Davison, A. C.  
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2017
Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series B-Statistical Methodology

Different dependence scenarios can arise in multivariate extremes, entailing careful selection of an appropriate class of models. In bivariate extremes, the variables are either asymptotically dependent or are asymptotically independent. Most available statistical models suit one or other of these cases, but not both, resulting in a stage in the inference that is unaccounted for but can substantially impact subsequent extrapolation. Existing modelling solutions to this problem are either applicable only on subdomains or appeal to multiple limit theories. We introduce a unified representation for bivariate extremes that encompasses a wide variety of dependence scenarios and applies when at least one variable is large. Our representation motivates a parametric model that encompasses both dependence classes. We implement a simple version of this model and show that it performs well in a range of settings.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1111/rssb.12157
Web of Science ID

WOS:000392486000008

Author(s)
Wadsworth, J. L.  
Tawn, J. A.
Davison, A. C.  
Elton, D. M.
Date Issued

2017

Publisher

Wiley-Blackwell

Published in
Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series B-Statistical Methodology
Volume

79

Issue

1

Start page

149

End page

175

Subjects

Asymptotic independence

•

Censored likelihood

•

Conditional extremes

•

Dependence modelling

•

Extreme value theory

•

Multivariate regular variation

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
STAT  
Available on Infoscience
March 27, 2017
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/135982
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