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research article

Methodology And Convergence Rates For Functional Time Series Regression

Pham, Tung  
•
Panaretos, Victor M.  
October 1, 2018
Statistica Sinica

The functional linear model extends the notion of linear regression to the case where the response and covariates are iid elements of an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. The unknown to be estimated is a Hilbert-Schmidt operator, whose inverse is by definition unbounded, rendering the problem of inference ill-posed. In this paper, we consider the more general context where the sample of response/covariate pairs forms a weakly dependent stationary process in the respective product Hilbert space: simply stated, the case where we have a regression between functional time series. We consider a general framework of potentially nonlinear processes, expoiting recent advances in the spectral analysis of functional time series. This allows us to quantify the inherent ill-posedness, and to motivate a Tikhonov regularisation technique in the frequency domain. Our main result is the rate of convergence for the corresponding estimators of the regression coefficients, the latter forming a summable sequence in the space of Hilbert-Schmidt operators. In a sense, our main result can be seen as a generalisation of the classical functional linear model rates to the case of time series, and rests only upon Brillinger-type mixing conditions. It is seen that, just as the covariance operator eigenstructure plays a central role in the independent case, so does the spectral density operator's eigenstructure in the dependent case. While the analysis becomes considerably more involved in the dependent case, the rates are strikingly comparable to those of the i.i.d. case, but at the expense of an additional factor caused by the necessity to estimate the spectral density operator at a nonparametric rate, as opposed to the parametric rate for covariance operator estimation.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.5705/ss.202016.0536
Web of Science ID

WOS:000450217700043

Author(s)
Pham, Tung  
Panaretos, Victor M.  
Date Issued

2018-10-01

Publisher

STATISTICA SINICA

Published in
Statistica Sinica
Volume

28

Issue

4

Start page

2521

End page

2539

Subjects

Statistics & Probability

•

Mathematics

•

frequency analysis

•

functional linear model

•

spectral density operator

•

system identification

•

tikhonov regularisation

•

principal-components

•

linear-regression

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SMAT  
MATHAA  
Available on Infoscience
December 13, 2018
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/152227
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