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research article

Clean air policies are key for successfully mitigating Arctic warming

von Salzen, Knut
•
Whaley, Cynthia H.
•
Anenberg, Susan C.
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October 2, 2022
Communications Earth & Environment

A tighter integration of modeling frameworks for climate and air quality is urgently needed to assess the impacts of clean air policies on future Arctic and global climate. We combined a new model emulator and comprehensive emissions scenarios for air pollutants and greenhouse gases to assess climate and human health co-benefits of emissions reductions. Fossil fuel use is projected to rapidly decline in an increasingly sustainable world, resulting in far-reaching air quality benefits. Despite human health benefits, reductions in sulfur emissions in a more sustainable world could enhance Arctic warming by 0.8 °C in 2050 relative to the 1995–2014, thereby offsetting climate benefits of greenhouse gas reductions. Targeted and technically feasible emissions reduction opportunities exist for achieving simultaneous climate and human health co-benefits. It would be particularly beneficial to unlock a newly identified mitigation potential for carbon particulate matter, yielding Arctic climate benefits equivalent to those from carbon dioxide reductions by 2050.

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s43247-022-00555-x.pdf

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Published version

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openaccess

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CC BY

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1.61 MB

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Adobe PDF

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c418fb8b03598f5aabc23f33305e3f82

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