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  4. Evaluating modeling uncertainties in the simulation of airflow in cities
 
conference paper not in proceedings

Evaluating modeling uncertainties in the simulation of airflow in cities

Vernay, Didier G.  
•
Raphael, Benny  
•
Smith, Ian F. C.  
2013
1st International Conference on Civil and Building Engineering Informatics (ICCBEI 2013)

Even though computational fluid-dynamics (CFD) has been used to simulate airflow in cities, accurate results are not always obtained because of difficulties related to defining the correct set of values of parameters, including boundary conditions. This paper uses a multi-model system-identification approach for improving the accuracy of airflow modeling. In this approach, multiple model predictions are generated through varying values of parameters that are not known precisely. Measurements are then carried out in order to falsify predictions that are not consistent with the measurements. A rejection criterion is defined through consideration of measurement and inherent modeling uncertainties. This paper proposes a methodology for evaluating modeling uncertainties within a system-identification framework. The methodology has been tested on an experimental facility of the Future Cities Laboratory, called “BubbleZERO”. It is shown that reliable predictions at locations where there are no sensors can be performed through implementation of the model-falsification approach.

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Type
conference paper not in proceedings
Author(s)
Vernay, Didier G.  
Raphael, Benny  
Smith, Ian F. C.  
Date Issued

2013

Subjects

airflow modeling

•

system identification

•

multi-model reasoning

•

uncertainty analysis

•

smart city

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
IMAC  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
1st International Conference on Civil and Building Engineering Informatics (ICCBEI 2013)

Tokyo, Japan

November 7-8, 2013

Available on Infoscience
November 19, 2013
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/97094
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