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  4. Preliminary Sensitivity Analysis of Time-Dependent Code Outputs in Fuel Performance Models Using OFFBEAT for Future Calibration
 
conference paper

Preliminary Sensitivity Analysis of Time-Dependent Code Outputs in Fuel Performance Models Using OFFBEAT for Future Calibration

Maccario, Sara  
•
Robertson, Gustav
•
Brunetto, Edoardo Luciano  
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2025
Proceedings of the International Conference on Mathematics and Computational Methods Applied to Nuclear Science and Engineering, M and C 2025
International Conference on Mathematics and Computational Methods Applied to Nuclear Science and Engineering

Fuel performance codes are essential for predicting fuel rod behavior in nuclear reactors. These codes comprise a complex system of models with empirical constants that require calibration against experimental data. To support this calibration, this study conducts a preliminary sensitivity analysis using the Morris Method on a time-dependent model of Rod 1 in assembly IFA-432 from the Halden Reactor Project, employing the fuel performance solver OFFBEAT. Sensitivity analysis is typically performed on scalar outputs and for time-dependent models, ideally covering all time steps to capture input impacts on outputs. However, analyzing each time step in long series leads to an unmanageable number of sensitivity measures, complicating interpretation. To address this, key moments or time-averaged outputs are used to determine influential parameters. In this study, we aim to reduce reliance on expert judgment in selecting these moments by applying Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to generate reduced-dimensional outputs for sensitivity analysis, providing a more objective, data-driven approach to identify key parameters. We propose comparing these metrics-based on specific irradiation stages, time-averaged value, and PCA-derived quantities-for a deeper understanding of parameter influence on model output. This study offers a practical approach for future calibration by prioritizing key parameters, reducing computational complexity. At the conference this sensitivity analysis will be extended to additional rods within the IFA-432 assembly to ensure a robust calibration process adaptable across varied experimental conditions.

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Type
conference paper
DOI
10.13182/MC25-47197
Scopus ID

2-s2.0-105010199898

Author(s)
Maccario, Sara  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

Robertson, Gustav

Uppsala Universitet

Brunetto, Edoardo Luciano  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

Scolaro, Alessandro  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

Hursin, Mathieu  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

Date Issued

2025

Publisher

American Nuclear Society

Published in
Proceedings of the International Conference on Mathematics and Computational Methods Applied to Nuclear Science and Engineering, M and C 2025
ISBN of the book

9780894482229

Start page

333

End page

342

Subjects

Dimensionality Reduction

•

Model calibration

•

Morris Method

•

Principal Component Analysis

•

Sensitivity Analysis

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LRS  
Event nameEvent acronymEvent placeEvent date
International Conference on Mathematics and Computational Methods Applied to Nuclear Science and Engineering

Denver, US

2025-04-27 - 2025-04-30

FunderFunding(s)Grant NumberGrant URL

Swiss National Science Foundation

200020 204256

Available on Infoscience
July 25, 2025
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/252656
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