Repository logo

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
  1. Home
  2. Academic and Research Output
  3. Journal articles
  4. Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks for Multi-Site PV Power Forecasting
 
research article

Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks for Multi-Site PV Power Forecasting

Simeunovic, Jelena  
•
Schubnel, Baptiste
•
Alet, Pierre-Jean
Show more
April 1, 2022
Ieee Transactions On Sustainable Energy

Accurate forecasting of solar power generation with fine temporal and spatial resolution is vital for the operation of the power grid. However, state-of-the-art approaches that combine machinelearning with numerical weather predictions (NWP) have coarse resolution. In this paper, we take a graph signal processing perspective and model multi-site photovoltaic (PV) production time series as signals on a graph to capture their spatio-temporal dependencies and achieve higher spatial and temporal resolution forecasts. We present two novel graph neural network models for deterministic multi-site PV forecasting dubbed the graph-convolutional long short term memory (GCLSTM) and the graph-convolutional transformer (GCTrafo) models. These methods rely solely on production data and exploit the intuition that PV systems provide a dense network of virtual weather stations. The proposed methods were evaluated in two data sets for an entire year: 1) production data from 304 real PV systems, and 2) simulated production of 1000 PV systems, both distributed over Switzerland. The proposed models outperform state-of-the-art multi-site forecasting methods for prediction horizons of six hours ahead. Furthermore, the proposed models outperform state-of-the-art single-site methods with NWP as inputs on horizons up to four hours ahead.

  • Details
  • Metrics
Type
research article
DOI
10.1109/TSTE.2021.3125200
Web of Science ID

WOS:000772458800053

Author(s)
Simeunovic, Jelena  
Schubnel, Baptiste
Alet, Pierre-Jean
Carrillo, Rafael E.
Date Issued

2022-04-01

Published in
Ieee Transactions On Sustainable Energy
Volume

13

Issue

2

Start page

1210

End page

1220

Subjects

Green & Sustainable Science & Technology

•

Energy & Fuels

•

Engineering, Electrical & Electronic

•

Science & Technology - Other Topics

•

Energy & Fuels

•

Engineering

•

forecasting

•

convolution

•

predictive models

•

production

•

weather forecasting

•

correlation

•

data models

•

photovoltaic systems

•

forecasting

•

machine learning

•

graph signal processing

•

graph neural networks

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LTS4  
Available on Infoscience
April 11, 2022
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/186964
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne
  • Contact
  • infoscience@epfl.ch

  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on Instagram
  • Follow us on LinkedIn
  • Follow us on X
  • Follow us on Youtube
AccessibilityLegal noticePrivacy policyCookie settingsEnd User AgreementGet helpFeedback

Infoscience is a service managed and provided by the Library and IT Services of EPFL. © EPFL, tous droits réservés