Markov decision processes for services opportunity pipeline optimization

The dynamics of sales opportunities can be modelled by a Markov Decision Process. The latter can be solved by using dynamic programming and assigns to each state an optimal action. In this project, states are modelled by the number of opportunities at five different maturity levels called ranks, actions are represented by investments and rewards by profits from signed contracts. Transitions are simulated using the probabilities that an opportunity moves from one rank to another. Two different types of policy appear recurrently in the model outcome, i.e. a low-investment policy when the opportunities are rather uniformly distributed across ranks and a high-investment policy, when a larger number of opportunities have reached mature status or have juste entered the pipe.


Advisor(s):
Bierlaire, Michel
Year:
2010
Laboratories:




 Record created 2011-08-17, last modified 2018-03-17

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