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  4. Heat demand estimation for different building types at regional scale considering building parameters and urban topography
 
conference paper

Heat demand estimation for different building types at regional scale considering building parameters and urban topography

Schüler, Nils
•
Mastrucci, Alessio
•
Bertrand, Alexandre  
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2015
Energy Procedia
6th International Building Physics Conference

This study aims towards an improved estimation of annual heat demand of the building stock for an entire region. This requires the holistic representation of aspects influencing the heat demand of buildings, namely their geometry, fabric, users and surrounding environment. A large data base for the building stock of the Swiss canton of Geneva was systematically assessed to identify parameters suited for representation of these aspects. Due to the expectable differences in heat demand, the building stock was categorized into 8 building types. For each type a multiple linear regression model was developed to predict the heat demand. An aspect which has so far been neglected by regression models of buildings’ heat demand is the influence of microclimate. Since this aspect is considerably influenced by the surrounding topography, parameters suited for the representation of the urban topography were defined and included in the regression. The regression analysis revealed that all models were able to explain high shares of the variance (R²: 71.2% to 88.9%). The mean average errors for hotel, health-care, educational and office buildings were ranging between 30.2% and 39.8% while the error for residential buildings was 17.8%. The suitability and of the selected parameters for heat demand prediction was analyzed in detail for the residential building model and revealed that almost all chosen parameters were highly suited.

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Type
conference paper
DOI
10.1016/j.egypro.2015.11.758
Author(s)
Schüler, Nils
Mastrucci, Alessio
Bertrand, Alexandre  
Page, Jessen  
Maréchal, François  
Date Issued

2015

Publisher

Elsevier

Published in
Energy Procedia
Volume

78

Start page

3403

End page

3409

Subjects

energy demand

•

city-scale

•

building types

•

multiple linear regression

•

density parameters

•

urban_systems

•

FP7_CINERGY

•

SCCER_FURIES

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SCI-STI-FM  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
6th International Building Physics Conference

Torino, Italy

June 14-17, 2015

Available on Infoscience
November 12, 2015
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/120573
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