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  4. Bayesian multiresponse calibration of TOPMODEL: Application to the Haute-Mentue catchment, Switzerland
 
research article

Bayesian multiresponse calibration of TOPMODEL: Application to the Haute-Mentue catchment, Switzerland

Talamba, Daniela Balin
•
Parent, Eric
•
Musy, André  
2010
Water Resources Research

This paper introduces a general framework that evaluates a numerical Bayesian multiresponse calibration approach based on a Gibbs within Metropolis searching algorithm and a statistical likelihood function. The methodology has been applied with two versions of TOPMODEL on the Haute-Mentue experimental basin in Switzerland. The approach computes the following: the parameter's uncertainty, the parametric uncertainty of the output responses stemming from parameter uncertainty, and the predictive uncertainty of the output responses stemming from an error term including, indiscriminately in a lumped way, model structure and input and output errors. Two case studies are presented: The first one applies this methodology with the classical TOPMODEL to assess the role of two-response calibration (observed discharge and soil saturation deficits) on model parameters and output uncertainty. The second one uses a three-response calibration (observed discharge, silica, and calcium stream water concentrations) with a modified version of TOPMODEL to study the uncertainty of the parameters and of the simulated responses. Despite its limitations, the present multiresponse Bayesian approach proved a valuable tool in uncertainty analyses, and it contributed to a better understanding of the role of the internal variables and the value of additional information for enhancing model structure robustness and for checking the performance of conceptual models.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1029/2007WR006449
Web of Science ID

WOS:000280960500001

Author(s)
Talamba, Daniela Balin
Parent, Eric
Musy, André  
Date Issued

2010

Publisher

American Geophysical Union

Published in
Water Resources Research
Volume

46

Issue

8

Article Number

W08524

Subjects

Parameter Uncertainty

•

Global Optimization

•

Hydrologic-Models

•

Runoff Model

•

Chaohe Basin

•

Methodology

•

Algorithm

•

Inference

•

China

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
HYDRAM  
Available on Infoscience
September 5, 2011
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/70732
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