Repository logo

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
  1. Home
  2. Academic and Research Output
  3. Conferences, Workshops, Symposiums, and Seminars
  4. Effect of uncertainties on the real-time operation of a lowland water system in The Netherlands
 
conference paper

Effect of uncertainties on the real-time operation of a lowland water system in The Netherlands

Weijs, Steven Vincent  
•
Van Leeuwen, Elgard
•
Van Overloop, Peter-Jules
Show more
Boegh, Eva
•
Kunstmann, Harald
Show more
2007
Quantification and Reduction of Predictive Uncertainty for Sustainable Water Resources Management
IUGG2007, the XXIV General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics

Due to the limited pumping capacity in lowland water systems, reduction of system failure requires anticipation of extreme precipitation events. This can be done by Model Predictive Control that optimizes an objective function over a certain time horizon, for which the system behaviour is calculated by a model and a prediction of the inputs to the system. The forecast inputs usually contain large uncertainties. Because the pump constraints make the optimization problem non-certainty equivalent, uncertainties need to be considered to adequately control the water system. In this paper, the way uncertainties influence the control decision is investigated. An information-control horizon and an information-prediction horizon are introduced as time-limits for the sensitivity to future input information and the value of predictions. These horizons need to be considered in the design of a controller. Multiple Model Predictive Control is suggested to deal with the uncertainties in a risk based way.

  • Files
  • Details
  • Metrics
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name

effect_uncertaintiesweijs[1].pdf

Type

Postprint

Version

Accepted version

Access type

openaccess

Size

205.93 KB

Format

Adobe PDF

Checksum (MD5)

531d8c182ae7795afe553a20f62fe8b5

Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne
  • Contact
  • infoscience@epfl.ch

  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on Instagram
  • Follow us on LinkedIn
  • Follow us on X
  • Follow us on Youtube
AccessibilityLegal noticePrivacy policyCookie settingsEnd User AgreementGet helpFeedback

Infoscience is a service managed and provided by the Library and IT Services of EPFL. © EPFL, tous droits réservés