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  4. Early detection, warnings, weak signals and seeds of change: A turbulent domain of futures studies
 
research article

Early detection, warnings, weak signals and seeds of change: A turbulent domain of futures studies

Rossel, Pierre  
2012
Futures

This paper marks a milestone in a six year research cycle on weak signal analysis and early detection issues in futures studies. While providing a broad view and discussing a variety of contributions on this topic, the aim of this article is to offer a more constructivist approach to early detection studies than has been typically the case so far. The article starts by positioning the underlying problem of weak signals within the broader field of futures studies. The second section examines the Ansoffian tradition, first on the basis of Ansoffs own contributions, then through key enhancements offered by scholars working in the same perspective. The third section develops the arguments for a constructivist critique of the Ansoffian tradition as a way to renew and enrich scientific debate. The fourth and final section presents the main open issues where research, case studies, methods and applications still need to make significant progress in the vast domain of weak signal analysis and early detection.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.futures.2011.10.005
Web of Science ID

WOS:000302441400005

Author(s)
Rossel, Pierre  
Date Issued

2012

Published in
Futures
Volume

44

Start page

229

End page

239

Subjects

Decision-Making

•

Foresight

•

Strategy

•

Filters

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
MTEI-GE  
Available on Infoscience
May 18, 2012
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/80578
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