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  4. Nuance Matters: Probing Epistemic Consistency in Causal Reasoning
 
conference paper not in proceedings

Nuance Matters: Probing Epistemic Consistency in Causal Reasoning

Cui, Shaobo  
•
Li, Junyou
•
Mouchel, Luca  
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August 27, 2024
The 39th Annual AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence

Previous research on causal reasoning often overlooks the subtleties crucial to understanding causal reasoning. To address this gap, our study introduces the concept of causal epistemic consistency, which focuses on the self-consistency of Large Language Models (LLMs) in differentiating intermediates with nuanced differences in causal reasoning. We propose a suite of novel metrics-intensity ranking concordance, cross-group position agreement, and intra-group clustering-to evaluate LLMs on this front. Through extensive empirical studies on 21 high-profile LLMs, including GPT-4, Claude3, and LLaMA3-70B, we have favoring evidence that current models struggle to maintain epistemic consistency in identifying the polarity and intensity of intermediates in causal reasoning. Additionally, we explore the potential of using internal token probabilities as an auxiliary tool to maintain causal epistemic consistency. In summary, our study bridges a critical gap in AI research by investigating the self-consistency over fine-grained intermediates involved in causal reasoning.

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Type
conference paper not in proceedings
DOI
10.48550/arXiv.2409.00103
ArXiv ID

arXiv:2409.00103

Author(s)
Cui, Shaobo  

EPFL

Li, Junyou

University of Waterloo

Mouchel, Luca  

EPFL

Feng, Yiyang  

EPFL

Faltings, Boi  

EPFL

Date Issued

2024-08-27

Subjects

consistency

•

intensity

•

clustering

•

polarity

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LIA  
Event nameEvent acronymEvent placeEvent date
The 39th Annual AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence

AAAI 2025

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA

2025-02-25 - 2025-03-04

RelationRelated workURL/DOI

IsCompiledBy

Nuance Matters: Probing Epistemic Consistency in Causal Reasoning

https://github.com/cui-shaobo/causal-consistency
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/249602
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