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research article

Why Does Fast Loan Growth Predict Poor Performance for Banks?

Fahlenbrach, Rüdiger  
•
Prilmeier, Robert
•
Stulz, René M.
March 1, 2018
The Review of Financial Studies

From 1973 to 2014, the common stock of U.S. banks with loan growth in the top quartile of banks over a three-year period significantly underperformed the common stock of banks with loan growth in the bottom quartile over the next three years. After the period of high growth, these banks have a lower return on assets and increase their loan loss reserves. The poorer performance of fast-growing banks is not explained by merger activity. The evidence is consistent with banks, analysts, and investors being overoptimistic about the risk of loans extended during bank-level periods of high loan growth.

  • Details
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Type
research article
DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhx109
Author(s)
Fahlenbrach, Rüdiger  
Prilmeier, Robert
Stulz, René M.
Date Issued

2018-03-01

Published in
The Review of Financial Studies
Volume

31

Issue

3

Start page

1014

End page

1063

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SFI-RF  
RelationURL/DOI

IsSupplementedBy

https://academic.oup.com/rfs/article/31/3/1014/4210007
Available on Infoscience
October 9, 2018
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/148767
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