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master thesis

A simulation and behavioral study of decision and risk in blackjack

Burnand, Alexandre
2009

The purpose of this master project was to explore decision making process applied to a blackjack game and make the links with facets of impulsivity. The first part of this study goes through the mathematical of this game and presented the optimal policy, computed with reinforcement learning algorithm. We also computed with a Monte Carlo simulation, for each possible hand and for each possible decision, the 3 values ${Q}{t}$, ${H}{t}$ and ${h}_{t}$, value function, risk, one-step-ahead risk proposed by d'Acremont & Bossaerts, 2008. The second part of the study present the result of the behavioural study. Forty-seven undergraduate students perform 200 blackjack hands and completed a self-report questionnaire evaluating impulsivity and risk attitude. Our analysis reveals links with lack of perseverance and decision time. Furthermore percentage of optimal decision along the game reveals learning with novice player. The result of this study can be used as a basis for future research in neuroimaging on the risk, to try to answer if is possible to distinguish brain area associated with one-step ahead versus total risk

  • Details
  • Metrics
Type
master thesis
Author(s)
Burnand, Alexandre
Advisors
Bossaerts, Peter
Date Issued

2009

Subjects

Sciences et technologie du vivant

•

Life sciences and technology

•

FSV/SSV

Note

Laboratory of decision making under uncertainty, EPFL

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SSV  
Faculty
SV  
Section
SV-S  
Available on Infoscience
December 28, 2009
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/45010
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