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  4. Heterogeneous artificial neural network for short term electrical load forecasting
 
conference paper

Heterogeneous artificial neural network for short term electrical load forecasting

Piras, A.
•
Germond, A.  
•
Buchenel, B.
Show more
1995
IEEE Power Industry Computer Applications Conference

Short term electrical load forecasting is a topic of major interest for the planning of energy production and distribution. The use of artificial neural networks has been demonstrated as a valid alternative to classical statistical methods in term of accuracy of results. However a common architecture able to forecast the load in different geographical regions, showing different load shape and climate characteristics, is still missing. In this paper we discuss a heterogeneous neural network architecture composed of an unsupervised part, namely a neural gas, which is used to analyze the process in sub models finding local features in the data and suggesting regression variables, and a supervised one, a multilayer perceptron, which performs the approximation of the underlying function. The resulting outputs are then summed by a weighted fuzzy average, allowing a smooth transition between sub models. The effectiveness of the proposed architecture is demonstrated by two days ahead load forecasting of EOS power system sub areas, corresponding to five different geographical regions, and of its total electrical load.

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Type
conference paper
DOI
10.1109/PICA.1995.515201
Author(s)
Piras, A.
Germond, A.  
Buchenel, B.
Imhof, K.
Jaccard, Y.
Date Issued

1995

Published in
IEEE Power Industry Computer Applications Conference
Start page

319

End page

324

Subjects

Electric load forecasting

•

Statistical methods

•

Data reduction

•

Computer simulation

•

Regression analysis

•

Approximation theory

•

Fuzzy sets

•

Parameter estimation

•

Mathematical models

•

Electric power systems

•

Learning systems

•

Short term load forecast

•

Heterogeneous neural networks

•

Variables selection

•

Neural gas

•

Weighted fuzzy average

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LRE  
SCI-STI-FR  
Available on Infoscience
April 4, 2007
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/4407
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