Repository logo

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne

Infoscience

  • English
  • French
Log In
  1. Home
  2. Academic and Research Output
  3. Journal articles
  4. On uncertainty quantification in hydrogeology and hydrogeophysics
 
research article

On uncertainty quantification in hydrogeology and hydrogeophysics

Linde, Niklas
•
Ginsbourger, David
•
Irving, James
Show more
2017
Advances in Water Resources

Recent advances in sensor technologies, field methodologies, numerical modeling, and inversion approaches have contributed to unprecedented imaging of hydrogeological properties and detailed predictions at multiple temporal and spatial scales. Nevertheless, imaging results and predictions will always remain imprecise, which calls for appropriate uncertainty quantification (UQ). In this paper, we outline selected methodological developments together with pioneering UQ applications in hydrogeology and hydrogeophysics. The applied mathematics and statistics literature is not easy to penetrate and this review aims at helping hydrogeologists and hydrogeophysicists to identify suitable approaches for UQ that can be applied and further developed to their specific needs. To bypass the tremendous computational costs associated with forward UQ based on full-physics simulations, we discuss proxy-modeling strategies and multi-resolution (Multi-level Monte Carlo) methods. We consider Bayesian inversion for non-linear and non-Gaussian state-space problems and discuss how Sequential Monte Carlo may become a practical alternative. We also describe strategies to account for forward modeling errors in Bayesian inversion. Finally, we consider hydrogeophysical inversion, where petrophysical uncertainty is often ignored leading to overconfident parameter estimation. The high parameter and data dimensions encountered in hydrogeological and geophysical problems make UQ a complicated and important challenge that has only been partially addressed to date.

  • Details
  • Metrics
Type
research article
DOI
10.1016/j.advwatres.2017.10.014
Web of Science ID

WOS:000418262400012

Author(s)
Linde, Niklas
Ginsbourger, David
Irving, James
Nobile, Fabio  
Doucet, Arnaud
Date Issued

2017

Publisher

Elsevier

Published in
Advances in Water Resources
Volume

110

Start page

166

End page

181

Subjects

Uncertainty quantification

•

Hydrogeology

•

Hydrogeophysics

•

Inversion

•

Proxy models

•

Modeling errors

•

Petrophysics

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
CSQI  
LIDIAP  
Available on Infoscience
November 22, 2017
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/142279
Logo EPFL, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne
  • Contact
  • infoscience@epfl.ch

  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on Instagram
  • Follow us on LinkedIn
  • Follow us on X
  • Follow us on Youtube
AccessibilityLegal noticePrivacy policyCookie settingsEnd User AgreementGet helpFeedback

Infoscience is a service managed and provided by the Library and IT Services of EPFL. © EPFL, tous droits réservés