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research article

Railway demand forecasting in revenue management using neural networks

Sharif Azadeh, Shadi  
•
Labib, Richard
•
Savard, Gilles
2013
International Journal of Revenue Management

This study analyses the use of neural networks to produce accurate forecasts of total bookings and cancellations before departure, of a major European rail operator. Effective forecasting models, can improve revenue performance of transportation companies significantly. The prediction model used in this research is an improved multi-layer perceptron (MLP) describing the relationship between number of passengers and factors affecting this quantity based on historical data. Relevant pre-processing approaches have been employed to make learning more efficient. The generalisation of the network is tested to evaluate the accuracy prediction of the regression model for future trends of reservations and cancellations using actual railroad data. The results show that it is a promising approach in railway demand forecasting with a low prediction error.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1504/IJRM.2013.053358
Author(s)
Sharif Azadeh, Shadi  
Labib, Richard
Savard, Gilles
Date Issued

2013

Published in
International Journal of Revenue Management
Volume

7

Issue

1

Start page

18

End page

36

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
TRANSP-OR  
Available on Infoscience
April 15, 2015
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/113342
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