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  4. An epidemic model for the interactions between thermal regime of rivers and transmission of proliferative kidney disease in salmonid fish
 
conference poster not in proceedings

An epidemic model for the interactions between thermal regime of rivers and transmission of proliferative kidney disease in salmonid fish

Carraro, Luca  
•
Bertuzzo, Enrico  
•
Mari, Lorenzo  
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2015
European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2015

Proliferative kidney disease (PKD) affects salmonid populations in European and North-American rivers. It is caused by the endoparasitic myxozoan Tetracapsuloides bryosalmonae, which exploits freshwater bryozoans (Fredericella sultana) and salmonids as primary and secondary hosts, respectively. Incidence and mortality, which can reach up to 90-100%, are known to be strongly related to water temperature. PKD has been present in brown trout population for a long time but has recently increased rapidly in incidence and severity causing a decline in fish catches in many countries. In addition, environmental changes are feared to cause PKD outbreaks at higher latitude and altitude regions as warmer temperatures promote disease development. This calls for a better comprehension of the interactions between disease dynamics and the thermal regime of rivers, in order to possibly devise strategies for disease management. In this perspective, a spatially explicit model of PKD epidemiology in riverine host metacommunities is proposed. The model aims at summarizing the knowledge on the modes of transmission of the disease and the life-cycle of the parasite, making the connection between temperature and epidemiological parameters explicit. The model accounts for both local population and disease dynamics of bryozoans and fish and hydrodynamic dispersion of the parasite spores and hosts along the river network. The model is time-hybrid, coupling inter-seasonal and intra-seasonal dynamics, the former being described in a continuous time domain, the latter seen as time steps of a discrete time domain. In order to test the model, a case study is conducted in river Wigger (Cantons of Aargau and Lucerne, Switzerland), where data about water temperature, brown trout and bryozoan populations and PKD prevalence are being collected.

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Type
conference poster not in proceedings
Author(s)
Carraro, Luca  
Bertuzzo, Enrico  
Mari, Lorenzo  
Gatto, Marino
Strepparava, Nicole
Hartikainen, Hanna
Rinaldo, Andrea  
Date Issued

2015

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
ECHO  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2015

Vienna, Austria

April 12-17, 2015

Available on Infoscience
June 26, 2017
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/138624
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