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research article

Timely deployment of best-in-class technologies to enable development and decarbonise construction

Dunant, Cyrille F.
•
Hafez, Hisham
•
Marsh, Alastair T. M.  
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December 24, 2025
Nature Communications

In the face of two apparently irreconcilable global challenges - housing a growing world population and reducing CO 2 emissions - we analyse the current, historic and forecast data on the use of construction materials. Today, cement-based materials make up around three quarters of materials used by mass. Historically, we see that cement-based materials use goes through a peak as Gross Domestic Product per capita increases and then falls. This peak of cement use has been particularly pronounced in China, but is now on a downwards path. From now to 2050, three quarters of construction materials demand will be in low- and middle-income countries. We estimate that adopting the best available construction technologies could reduce CO 2 emissions by about 73% compared to business as usual by 2050. In low- and middle-income countries, the housing and infrastructure needed to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals could be supplied while simultaneously reducing their per capita CO 2 emissions from structural materials.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1038/s41467-025-67489-8
Author(s)
Dunant, Cyrille F.

University of Cambridge

Hafez, Hisham

University of Leeds

Marsh, Alastair T. M.  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

Miller, Sabbie

University of California, Davis

Röck, Martin

Regenerative Medicine Institute

Schmidt, Wolfram

Federal Institute For Materials Research and Testing

Scrivener, Karen  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

Zunino, Franco

University of California, Berkeley

Date Issued

2025-12-24

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Published in
Nature Communications
Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LMC  
FunderFunding(s)Grant NumberGrant URL

National Science Foundation

CBET-2143981

Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung

208719

Available on Infoscience
December 29, 2025
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/257350
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