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research article

Drift Estimation of Multiscale Diffusions Based on Filtered Data

Abdulle, Assyr  
•
Garegnani, Giacomo  
•
Pavliotis, Grigorios A.
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2023
Foundations of Computational Mathematics

We study the problem of drift estimation for two-scale continuous time series. We set ourselves in the framework of overdamped Langevin equations, for which a single-scale surrogate homogenized equation exists. In this setting, estimating the drift coefficient of the homogenized equation requires pre-processing of the data, often in the form of subsampling; this is because the two-scale equation and the homogenized single-scale equation are incompatible at small scales, generating mutually singular measures on the path space. We avoid subsampling and work instead with filtered data, found by application of an appropriate kernel function, and compute maximum likelihood estimators based on the filtered process. We show that the estimators we propose are asymptotically unbiased and demonstrate numerically the advantages of our method with respect to subsampling. Finally, we show how our filtered data methodology can be combined with Bayesian techniques and provide a full uncertainty quantification of the inference procedure.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1007/s10208-021-09541-9
Author(s)
Abdulle, Assyr  
Garegnani, Giacomo  
Pavliotis, Grigorios A.
Stuart, Andrew M.
Zanoni, Andrea  
Date Issued

2023

Published in
Foundations of Computational Mathematics
Volume

23

Start page

33

End page

84

Subjects

Parameter inference

•

Diffusion process

•

Data-driven homogenization

•

Filtering

•

Bayesian inference

•

Langevin equation

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
ANMC  
Available on Infoscience
October 21, 2021
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/182380
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