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conference paper

A fast machine learning model for large-scale estimation of annual solar irradiation on rooftops

Walch, Alina  
•
Castello, Roberto  
•
Mohajeri, Nahid
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2020
Proceedings of Solar World Congress 2019
SHC 2019/SWC 2019. ISES Solar World Congress

Rooftop-mounted solar photovoltaics have shown to be a promising technology to provide clean electricity in urban areas. Several large-scale studies have thus been conducted in different countries and cities worldwide to estimate their PV potential for the existing building stock using different methods. These methods, however, are time-consuming and computationally expensive. This paper provides a Machine Learning approach to estimate the annual solar irradiation on building roofs (in kWh/m2) for large areas in a fast and computationally efficient manner by learning from existing datasets. The estimation is based on rooftop characteristics, input features extracted from digital surface models and annual horizontal irradiation. Five ML models are compared, with Random Forests exhibiting the highest model accuracy. In the presented case study, the model is trained using data of the Swiss Romandie area and is then applied to estimate annual rooftop solar irradiation in remaining Switzerland with an accuracy of 92%.

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Type
conference paper
DOI
10.18086/swc.2019.45.12
Author(s)
Walch, Alina  
Castello, Roberto  

EPFL

Mohajeri, Nahid
Scartezzini, Jean-Louis  

EPFL

Date Issued

2020

Publisher

International Solar Energy Society ISES

Published in
Proceedings of Solar World Congress 2019
ISBN of the book

978-3-982 0408-1-3

Subjects

rooftop photovoltaics

•

annual solar irradiation

•

city-scale PV potential

•

machine learning

URL

SWC2019 Proceedings

http://proceedings.ises.org/?conference=swc2019
Editorial or Peer reviewed

NON-REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LESO-PB  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
SHC 2019/SWC 2019. ISES Solar World Congress

Santiago, Chile

November 3-7, 2019

Available on Infoscience
June 16, 2020
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/169330
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