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research article
Incorporating model uncertainty into optimal insurance contract design
Pflug, Georg Ch.
•
Timonina-Farkas, Anna
•
Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefan
In stochastic optimization models, the optimal solution heavily depends on the selected probability model for the scenarios. However, the scenario models are typically chosen on the basis of statistical estimates and are therefore subject to model error. We demonstrate here how the model uncertainty can be incorporated into the decision making process. We use a nonparametric approach for quantifying the model uncertainty and a minimax setup to find model-robust solutions. The method is illustrated by a risk management problem involving the optimal design of an insurance contract. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Type
research article
Web of Science ID
WOS:000399627200007
Authors
Pflug, Georg Ch.
•
Timonina-Farkas, Anna
•
Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefan
Publication date
2017
Publisher
Published in
Volume
73
Start page
68
End page
74
Peer reviewed
REVIEWED
Written at
EPFL
EPFL units
Available on Infoscience
May 30, 2017
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