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research article

The elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

Sykulski, Adam
•
Olhede, Sofia  
•
Sykulska-lawrence, Hanna
January 1, 2023
Statistics And Its Interface

We introduce the elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which is a generalisation of the well-known univariate OU process to bivariate time series. This process maps out elliptical stochastic oscillations over time in the complex plane, which are observed in many applications of coupled bivariate time series. The appeal of the model is that elliptical oscillations are generated using one simple first order stochastic differential equation (SDE), whereas alternative models require more complicated vectorised or higher order SDE representations. The second useful feature is that parameter estimation can be performed semi-parametrically in the frequency domain using the Whittle Likelihood. We determine properties of the model including the conditions for stationarity, and the geometrical structure of the elliptical oscillations. We demonstrate the utility of the model by measuring periodic and elliptical properties of Earth's polar motion.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.4310/21-SII714
Web of Science ID

WOS:000841676100012

Author(s)
Sykulski, Adam
Olhede, Sofia  
Sykulska-lawrence, Hanna
Date Issued

2023-01-01

Publisher

INT PRESS BOSTON, INC

Published in
Statistics And Its Interface
Volume

16

Issue

1

Start page

133

End page

146

Subjects

Mathematical & Computational Biology

•

Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications

•

Mathematics

•

oscillations

•

complex-valued

•

widely linear

•

whittle likelihood

•

polar motion

•

time-series

•

chandler-wobble

•

models

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
SDS  
Available on Infoscience
January 16, 2023
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/193807
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