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research article
StockTwits classified sentiment and stock returns
June 1, 2024
We classify the sentiment of a large sample of StockTwits messages as bullish, bearish or neutral, and create a stock-aggregate daily sentiment polarity measure. Polarity is positively associated with contemporaneous stock returns. On average, polarity is not able to predict next-day stock returns. But when we condition on specific events, defined as sudden peaks of message volume, polarity has predictive power on abnormal returns. Polarity-sorted portfolios illustrate the economic relevance of our sentiment measure.
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Name
10.1007_s42521-023-00102-z.pdf
Type
main document
Access type
openaccess
License Condition
CC BY
Size
4.01 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
de3c0812d2895bd8b755c96b52db2a08