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  4. Different parameters - same prediction. An analysis of learning curves
 
conference paper

Different parameters - same prediction. An analysis of learning curves

Käser, Tanja  
•
Koedinger, Kenneth R.
•
Gross, Markus
Stamper, J.
•
Pardos, Z.
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2014
Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Educational Data Mining (EDM 2014)
Educational Data Mining 2014

Using data from student use of educational technologies to evaluate and improve cognitive models of learners is now a common approach in EDM. Such naturally occurring data poses modeling challenges when non-random factors drive what data is collected. Prior work began to explore the potential parameter estimate biases that may result from data from tutoring systems that employ a mastery learning mechanism whereby poorer students get assigned tasks that better students do not. We extend that work both by exploring a wider set of modeling techniques and by using a data set with additional observations of longer-term retention that provide a check on whether judged mastery is maintained. The data set at hand contains math learning data from children with and without developmental dyscalculia. We test variations on logistic regression, including the Additive Factors Model and others explicitly designed to adjust for mastery-based data, as well as Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT). We find these models produce similar prediction accuracy (though BKT is worse), but have different parameter estimation patterns. We discuss implications for use and interpretation of these different models.

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Type
conference paper
Author(s)
Käser, Tanja  
Koedinger, Kenneth R.
Gross, Markus
Editors
Stamper, J.
•
Pardos, Z.
•
Mavrikis, M.
•
McLaren, B.M.
Date Issued

2014

Published in
Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Educational Data Mining (EDM 2014)
Start page

52

End page

59

Subjects

Knowledge tracing

•

Learning curves

•

Logistic regression models

•

Parameter fitting

•

Prediction accuracy

URL

additionnal link

http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/95306
Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

OTHER

EPFL units
ML4ED  
Event nameEvent placeEvent date
Educational Data Mining 2014

London, UK

July 4-7, 2014

Available on Infoscience
July 14, 2020
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/170079
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