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  4. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Decarbonization Potential of Global Fired Clay Brick Production
 
research article

Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Decarbonization Potential of Global Fired Clay Brick Production

Olsson, Josefine A.
•
Hafez, Hisham
•
Miller, Sabbie A.
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January 23, 2025
Environmental Science & Technology

Fired clay bricks (FCBs) are a dominant building material globally due to their low cost and simplicity of production, especially in low- and middle-income countries. With a projected rising housing demand, commensurate growth in brick demand is anticipated, the production of which could result in significant greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Robust models are needed to estimate brick demand and emissions to systematically address decarbonization pathways. Few sources report production values; hence, we present two novel proxy models: (i) a consumption prediction model, relying on country-specific clay extraction data, dynamic building stock modeling, and average material intensity use allowing for projections to 2050; and (ii) a GHG emissions model, using literature-based data and production technology-specific inputs. Based on these models, the current global FCB consumption is estimated as 2.18 Gt annually, resulting in approximately 500 million tCO(2)e (1% of current global GHG emissions). If unaddressed, this fraction could increase to 3.5-5% in 2050 considering a moderate SSP 2-4.5 climate change mitigation scenario. Consequently, we explored three potential decarbonization pathways: (i) improving energy efficiency; (ii) shifting production to best practices; and (iii) replacing half of FCB demand with hollow concrete blocks, resulting in 27%, 49%, and 51% reduction in GHG emissions, respectively.

  • Details
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Type
research article
DOI
10.1021/acs.est.4c08994
Web of Science ID

WOS:001405330300001

PubMed ID

39846442

Author(s)
Olsson, Josefine A.

University of California System

Hafez, Hisham

University of Leeds

Miller, Sabbie A.

University of California System

Scrivener, Karen L.  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

Date Issued

2025-01-23

Publisher

AMER CHEMICAL SOC

Published in
Environmental Science & Technology
Subjects

Fired clay brick

•

Brick production

•

Low-carbonconstruction

•

Material demand mapping

•

Decarbonizationpotential

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
LMC  
FunderFunding(s)Grant NumberGrant URL

National Science Foundation (NSF)

CBET - 2143981

National Science Foundation (NSF)

Available on Infoscience
February 3, 2025
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/246448
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