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research article

A note on universal inference

Tse, Timmy  
•
Davison, Anthony C.  
December 1, 2022
Stat

Universal inference enables the construction of confidence intervals and tests without regularity conditions by splitting the data into two parts and appealing to Markov's inequality. Previous investigations have shown that the cost of this generality is a loss of power in regular settings for testing simple hypotheses. The present paper makes three contributions. We first clarify the reasons for the loss of power and use a simple illustrative example to investigate how the split proportion optimizing the power depends on the nominal size of the test. We then show that the presence of nuisance parameters can severely impact the power and suggest a simple asymptotic improvement. Finally, we show that combining many data splits can also sharply diminish power.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1002/sta4.501
Web of Science ID

WOS:000900144400001

Author(s)
Tse, Timmy  
Davison, Anthony C.  
Date Issued

2022-12-01

Publisher

WILEY

Published in
Stat
Volume

11

Issue

1

Article Number

e501

Subjects

Statistics & Probability

•

Mathematics

•

likelihood inference

•

nuisance parameter

•

power

•

regular model

•

split likelihood ratio

Editorial or Peer reviewed

REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
STAT  
Available on Infoscience
January 2, 2023
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/193510
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